US reputation in Decline

After the American Century

The reputation of the US in the world has declined since Trump became president. PEW Research found, already in June 2025, that a majority of the population of key allies developed a less favorable view of the US after 2024:

   nation    % negative 2025   % negative in 2024

    Sweden          79                           44                                         

    Australia        71                           60

    Netherlands   69                            48

    Mexico          69                            33

    Germany       66                            48

    Canada          64                            41

    Spain             64                            43

    France           59                            48

    Japan             44                            28

The opinion of the US has worsened in the year after that poll. PEW Research surveyed citizens of 36 countries again in June 2026 and found that 57% had an unfavorable view of the US, and 76% had "no confidence in Trump." In only five nations did more than half the population think Trump could be trusted: The Philippines, Israel, Nigeria, Kenya and Ghana. Among the traditional allies of the United States there was a tidal wave of no confidence in Trump, topped by Turkey (92%), Sweden (89%), and Mexico (88%). More than 80% of EU citizens polled had no confidence in Trump. 

By comparison, at the end of eight years in the White House in 2016, 80% of French, German, and British citizens had confidence in President Obama as a partner. 

The United States had a much better rating as a nation during the Biden presidency. In 2022, 83% of Swedes thought the United States was a reliable partner. In the second year of Trump's presidency that number had fallen to 31%. In Canada the decline was from 85% to 35%; in Germany from 83% to 39%. Trust that the US was a reliable partner fell to even lower levels in Italy (34%), Spain (31%), and France (27%).  

This is a catastrophic shift in popular opinion, and Trump's actions after the PEW poll was taken in June this year cannot possibly improve matters.  Already, however, Trump has achieved for the US what once looked impossible: an international ranking that is worse than Russia under Putin.

Foreign affairs: how much has changed since the early months of the Trump presidency?

After the American Century

This post is a reflection on how much has changed since the early months of the Trump presidency, when he dramatically ceased to support Ukraine and told its president that "he did not hold any cards." Trump foreign policy is a vast, chaotic arena, and here I will only focus on the war in Ukraine and to a lesser extend the war in Iran.

In April, 2025 President Trump provided an example of his "art of the deal." He posed to be a peace-maker between Russia and Ukraine, when in fact he was collaborating with the Russian leader Vlad Putin. 

The deal seemed to be that United States would get mineral resources from Ukraine, in exchange for support given in the past (under President Biden), AND the United States would also get investment opportunities in Russia in exchange for support given during the "peace negotiations."

In this "deal," Russia would have been rewarded with territory, and the economic sanctions against it would have been lifted. Its bombing of hospitals, schools, and other war crimes, and its kidnapping of thousands of Ukrainian children would not have been punished.  It also appears likely that Russia would not object should Trump seize Canada and/or Greenland.

In this "deal," Ukraine would have gotten nothing. The war had caused billions of dollars of damage, plus thousands of dead and wounded. If the deal had gone through, Ukraine would have been crippled, shrunken, bankrupt, and denied membership in both NATO or the EU. President Trump said that this was only fair because Ukraine supposedly started the war by forcing Russia to invade. (Trump repeated this Putin-inspired nonsense.)

Europe was given a lesson. It could no longer count upon the United States. When the United Nations was founded, the Americans signed the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights and The Universal Declaration of Human Rights. It promised to uphold the right to national self-determination, and the rights to freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, and due process of law. Instead, President Trump actively worked against these rights, both at home and abroad.

Indeed, without US support, the era of international law may be coming to a close, marking the end of the American Century. When entering World War I, Woodrow Wilson wanted to make the world safe for democracy. But the US Senate embraced isolationism instead, and it refused to ratify American membership in the League of Nations. 

Trump is the political descendant of those senators. His policy of "America First," in April, 2025 seemd to mean: Russia second, Britain third, Europe fourth, Canada fifth, Mexico sixth, and far down the list (because it won't sell Greenland) Denmark, while near the bottom of the list is Ukraine. This ranking could also be seen in the Trump-imposed tariffs. There were no tariffs for Russia, low tariffs on Britain, higher tariffs on Europe, higher still for Canada, etc. 

In April, 2025, it seemed that Trump's policies would result in a number of transformations  (in each case followed by comments on actual events after that April.)

1. Europe rearms; Germany reasserts itself as a military power.  This is in fact what is happening. European military investment has increased. Finland and Sweden have joined NATO, creating a much more robust defensive position in northern Europe. Germany has increased its annual military budget to $114 billion, which is expected to increase to $188 billion in 2029.  Examples of other increases: 

    France, 2% of GDP              $71 billion 

    Poland to 4.8% of GDP        $55 billion 

    Italy 2.8% of GDP                $48 billion 

    Spain, 2.4% of GDP             $39.5 billion 

    Netherlands 2.5% of GDP    $28.9 billion

    Norway to 3.5% of GDP      $19 billion.

    Denmark, 3.5% of GDP       $15 billion

2. Europeans and Canadians weaken support the American dollar, travel less to the US, and move some of their trade elsewhere. In 2026 support for the dollar remains, though it has lost value under Trump. European and Canadian travel to the US has fallen off. Canada still has a trade surplus with the US, and it has successfully shifted its trade elsewhere, too. Between 2016 and 2025, EU-Canada bilateral trade increased by 80%, to €130 billion. In May 2026 Canada had an overall trade surplus, including a 74% increase in exports to China ($3.99 billion Canadian) and an 86% increase in exports to the Netherlands (to $1.45 million Canadian). Its exports to Germany also had increased 25%.

3. A wave of Ukrainian refugees floods into Europe. This has not happened, because Ukraine has done much better in the war than Trump expected, despite the decline in US support. The Russian army has been unable to grind forward in a war of attrition, because Ukranian drone warfare has proven extremely effective. In the first years of the war, Russian lost 2 or 3 men for each Ukrainian casualty, a 3:1 ratio. But drones have increased deaths of offensive movement on the battlefield. That ratio is now 8:1, making offensive campaigns terribly grim for Russians.

4. China avoids Trump's tariffs by exporting through shell companies.  In fact, China stood up to Trump's tariffs by curtailing exports of rare earths that are essential for IT. Trump then caved in. At the same time,  China successfully expanded exports to other nations. Moreover, China has increased its production of patents, surpassing the US. It now challenges American production of automobiles, advanced computer technologies, and especially alternative energy, where China is the clear leader. 

5. The United States, its moral leadership in tatters and its military support uncertain, withdraws from NATO. This remains a possibility, for trust in NATO has declined. The US-Israeli war against Iran has created additional tensions, as NATO  has no duty to defend non-member Israel. Moreover, and probably the main point, NATO is explicitly a defensive alliance. Had Iran attacked Turkey, for example, then NATO would have a duty to join in the conflict. But if Turkey were to attack Iran, NATO would not have a duty to become aggressive. That is hypothetical. In the case of the actual war, the Americans kept the attack on Iran secret and therefore Europeans were unpreared to join in, even if they had wanted to. Trump only began demanding their help when attacks failed to force Iran to the bargaining table. In short, Trump did not consult with his European allies, made overly optimistic plans, and demanded participation to help a non-NATO country in its aggression. Moreover, he insulted his allies with lies and about their participation in the previous wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

6. Russia rebuilds its armed forces and plans further attacks, in order to realize its ambition  to recreate the geographical boundaries of the Soviet Union before it fell apart. This remains a possibility, in part because the US military has proven unable to subdue Iran and appears to be running out of missiles in that war. Some analysts argue that the US position in the Persian Gulf is weaker now than before the war began. Its relations with NATO allies remain tense. The main check on Russia now is Ukraine itself. The Center for Strategic and International Studies estimated in July 2026 that 450,000 Russians had died in the war, with 1.4 million casualties in all. Russia recruits 27,000 each month, but it loses c. 30,000-34,000 on the battlefield. As the Center concluded: "Dense minefields, layered fortifications, heavy shelling, and the saturation of drones across a zone more than 20 kilometers wide around the front line make it extremely dangerous to mass the personnel and armor to generate a large breakthrough."  In fact, the area Russia controlled shrank by 400 square kilometers in April and May. This war has become a stalemate on the ground.

Conclusion. Trump's attempt to end the Ukrainian war by siding with Russia proved to be a massive mis-judgement. The war with Iran has likewise been a costly misadventure. Already in March, CNN estimated that the war was costing $890 million every day. While the Pentagon has resisted full disclosure, and provided a vague estimate of $37.5 billion, Fortune magazine estimated on June 24 that the real cost was closer to $200 billion. That was 8 weeks ago, and the meter is still running. The military cost willsurely be higher than $300 billion, while consumers continue to face higher prices for oil, gas, fertilizer, and transportation.

Trump could have forced Russian to the bargaining table by giving Ukraine far less money than he has wasted in Iran. Instead, he has alienated his allies, produced two stalemates, and convinced the world that the Trump administration is unreliable and overconfident. 

Denial of Science: Republicans expunge climate change from Handbook for Judges

After the American Century

Once again, President Trump and the Republican Party have tried to take climate change off the agenda. As the New York Times reported today, the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine have bowed to pressure and deleted an entire chapter of their handbook prepared for judges. The purpose of that book is to provide an overview of scientific issues that may have a bearing on legal cases. In Trumpland, however, climate science is unclear and cannot be trusted, and only deluded Democrats think it is reliable.  But erasing scientific evidence is not an argument, it is censorship.

At the very moment when climate change disappeared from judicial advice, CBS News reports that the month of July, 2026 was the hottest ever recorded for the contiguous United States. As a direct result, wild fires in North America have become more common. By 2020 the smoke from these fires increased the death rate by 24,000 every year. That is five times as many as die in swimming accidents (4500) and eleven times more than die in residential fires (2200). Since 2020, the intensity and the frequency of these fires has increased. But don't tell a judge that global warming is clearly linked to the rising death toll.   

The Trump Administration has also attacked museum exhibits, cancelled academic grants after they had won approval through peer review, and begun to remove and rewrite historical information available at national parks. Under Trump, the truth is supposed to be whatever the president claims it is. However, the wild fires devastating Europe and North America do not disappear just because the White House tells a lie about global warming. Nor does rain magically increase. In Europe, the water in the Rhine River is so low that navigation is difficult and may soon become impossible. In the American West, the Colorado River has so little water flow that its reservoirs are at their lowest level in ninety years. The snow pack this year was so small that the Colorado dams cannot be replenished.

If the Trump assault on science continues without check, then a name change will soon be needed. The National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine should drop the facade of objectivity, and instead be named, "The National Academies that Legitimate Political Convenience and Wishful Thinking."

The End of the American Century?

After the American Century

On July 4, 2026, the United States is deep in a mess of its own making, and 2026 will be remembered as the moment when allies began to fall away, American scientific prowess began to falter, the international order that the US helped to construct weakened, and the US retreated into the Western Hemisphere where it alienated its neighbors and was torn apart by internal differences.  The American Century has come to a close as the country celebrated 250 years on the world stage. 

Just one third of the voters approve of the president, and 60% disapprove of him. The newspapers reported yesterday that Trump has enriched himself by more than $2 billion since taking office. Congress has ceased to be a check upon the president, and refuses to investigate evidence of corruption, insider trading, and other misuse of his office. 

Congress has continually failed in its obligation to ensure that the funds it allocates are actually spent  for the purposes intended. 

The Department of Defense routinely slaughters people in small boats on the high seas, because it suspects them of transporting drugs. Those killed are often unknown, and it seems certain some of them were innocent. Killing people based on mere suspicion is against international law, but the killings continue with little outcry and with no end in sight.

Masked government employees have killed a number of American citizens, notably two in Minneapolis. Far from investigating these deaths, the Trump administration has vilified the victims and resisted judicial action.

The Supreme Court has lost the confidence of the American people, less than half of whom now consider it to be non-partisan. A generation ago the courts were the most respected branch of government, with an approval rating as high as 80%. But in 2025 the Court's rating sank below 50%, and some polls put it as low as 42% in 2026. 

In short, the majority of US citizens do not respect or trust any of the three branches of government. 

Happy Birthday? Not really. The United States has lost its moral compass. The Founding Fathers knew that virtue among the legislators and leaders was essential for democracy to succeed.  

As James Madison put it: "The aim of every political Constitution, is or ought to be first to obtain for rulers men who possess most wisdom to discern, and most virtue to pursue, the common good of society; and in the next place, to take the most effectual precautions for keeping them virtuous whilst they continue to hold their public trust."

And meanwhile, the country is not paying its way. The national debt that is now over 100% of the annual gross national product. (See chart below.) The federal government does not collect enough taxes to pay its expenses. In 2025 the federal government spent $7.01 trillion and collected $5.23 trillion in revenue, resulting in a deficit of $1.78 trillion. The interest payments for that year were $396 billion. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that annual interest payments on this debt will rise to $628 billion in 2028. The long term danger is that the dollar might cease to be the world's de facto currency. 

--------

Size of national debt as a percentage of GNP

Country         2024     2026

Switzerland       14        14

Norway             15        15

Denmark           20        20

Sweden             34        34

Australia           37        37

Germany           44        44

Poland               45        45

Mexico              45        45

New Zealand     51        51

Canada              52        52

India                  54        54

Brazil                83        83

China                 --         88

France               94        94

UK                   101      101

United States  103      103

Italy                 133      133

Japan               201      201

Statistics from the 

Kaleidoscopic America: A Metaphorical Illusion

After the American Century

I am pleased to offer readers a free essay based on my new book, 

The Great Energy Transition: America from 1876 to 1929  

This piece makes sense on its own, but it is only a fragment of the larger argument. 

The download is 

https://thereader.mitpress.mit.edu/american-progress-was-an-optical-illusion/

---

What does American history look like if we focus less on elections and short-term issues and instead focus on energy systems during what the French annals school called the longue durée? Instead of many short eras between 1876 and 1929, one sees a massive energy transition. Every job, business, house, and public space underwent a transformation so radical that Americans could not grasp the larger pattern. The concepts of "technology" and an "energy transition" had yet to emerge. Observers struggled in a sematic void, attributing new experiences to "kaleidoscopic change" and "the machine." The Great Energy Transition explains this transformation, the failure to grasp it, and the still persisting consequences.

paperback, 334 pages, MIT Press, 2026

"A magisterial analysis of technological and social whirwinds that still sway everyday life, this is the rare book that takes on major issues and does so well. This is a truly milestone book."

 – John Stilgoe, Harvard University

"With this book, the reader is in the hands of a master historian. Nye reminds us that energy transitions are a long game, and the kaleidoscopic era·1876 to 1929–echoes today."

 – Julie A. Cohn, Rice University

Amazon

Penguin Random House

Barnes and Noble

MIT Press bookstore

A Plea for Justice: Should Trump Stand Trial for Murder?

After the American Century

Beginning on September 2, 2025, Donald Trump has ordered the execution of civilians on the high seas, without identifying them, charging them with a crime, attempting to capture them alive, or providing them an opportunity to surrender. These people were executed without due process or even evidence. The American Friends Service Committee, a Quaker organization, notes that, "The U.S. government claims the men killed were 'narco-terrorists' and members of Tren de Aragua but has provided no evidence. Interviews with victims’ families indicate that some of those killed had no ties to the drug trade."

These crimes must not be forgotten or ignored. The International Criminal Court could determine whether Trump and his Secretary of War are guilty of the murder of more than 120 people in the Caribbean and the Pacific Ocean. It appears that, without a declaration of war, members of the United States military violated international law with these attacks, which continued long after the probable illegality of these murders was widely discussed. There are also reports that in some cases the military has disguised an attacking plane as a civilian aircraft. If true, this constitutes the crime of perfidy, and that also violates international law.

The attacks have not ceased in 2026, and this has become a systematic military program of the murder of civilians. The Court could uphold the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, notably Article 3, “Everyone has the right to life, liberty and security of person,” and Article 6, “Everyone has the right to recognition everywhere as a person before the law.” Bombing small boats on the high seas and slaughtering everyone on board does appear to be an intentional violation of these articles. A thorough investigation is urgently needed. 

I do not imagine that either of these men will appear in person to stand trial for murder. But if a warrant were issued for their arrest, it would send a clear signal that other nations deplore these murders and wish to live in a world governed by international law. It would repudiate these murderous acts, and would also will encourage American lawyers and courts to hold these men to account for these and any other criminal acts they may commit.

For more information, see 

The Guardian  

& 

Amnesty International

&

A story on National Public Radio

Did the U.S. commit a war crime in the Caribbean?

The Great Energy Transition from 1876 to 1929

After the American Century

In March of 2026 I will publish The Great Energy Transition, America from 1876 to 1929, my 13th book with The MIT Press. This new book is far more than a summary of my previous studies. It examines how new forms of energy transformed every aspect of American life in a span of 50 years after 1876 – and how these changes seeded our current polarization. 

The Great Energy Transition has already been endorsed by several reviewers, including Professor John Stilgoe of Harvard University, one of the finest scholars working on the history of the American landscape, and Julie Cohn at Rice University, an expert on energy history. 

"A magisterial analysis of technological and social whirwinds that still sway everyday life, this is the rare book that takes on major issues and does so well. This is a truly milestone book."

 – John Stilgoe, Harvard University

"With this book, the reader is in the hands of a master historian. Nye reminds us that energy transitions are a long game, and the kaleidoscopic era·1876 to 1929–echoes today."

 – Julie A. Cohn, Rice University

334 pages, 35 illustrations
Publication date, end of March 2026

For more information, here is the link to MIT Press

at https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262052122/the-great-energy-transition/

You can also order it from any bookstore, including:

Penguin Random HouseAmazon

Barnes and NobleBookshop.org

Comparing the Electrical and Digital Revolutions

After the American Century

I was interviewed by a journalist a few days ago about the comparison between the electrical revolution between 1890-1930 with the adoption of digital technologies. This is complicated and I literally could write another book, but here are my reflections on this question.

Fireless Fireworks, Aurora Effect

Hudson-Fulton Celebration, New York City, 1909

for more information, see 

David E. Nye, American Technological Sublime, 153-165

The electrical system was deployed by equipment manufacturers beginning in the 1880s. Almost immediately came horizontal integration as many firms merged. By the middle 1890s a duopoly of GE and Westinghouse dominated the market, and they pooled their patents in 1895. Both sold equipment to  local utilities, which were gradually linked into regional systems, and later joined large scale power-sharing agreements. To some extent GE and Westinghouse owned stock in these local utilities, but they did not come to dominate that part of the industry. Rather the equipment manufacturers early became international, while the utilities were local and later regional monopolies. There was also a third tier of the industry, consisting of many small companies whose products plugged into the electrical system. There was some vertical integration between these fairly independent layers, but it was regulated by state utility boards and to some degree by the federal government. At the time, it was thought that many utilities, including those that sold gas, electricity, water, and other products delivered by networks, were "natural monopolies." It seemed to make no economic sense to build more than one set of gas lines or electrical transmission networks.

This situation only roughly corresponds with the division today where (1) some corporations produce computer chips and other vital components, (2) those who assemble components into products such as laptops, mobile phones and tablet, (3) those focused on software development as Microsoft did in its formative years, and (4) those making making printers or other peripherals (they are roughly equivalent to those who in 1925 made electrical clocks, radios, appliances, etc.)  

How do these two systems differ?

(1) Today, there is less government regulation, which also declined as a part of the electrical system after c. 1980.  The old utilities were governed by state boards that oversaw pricing of electricity and had some influence on the structure of competition. 

(2) There is less horizontal integration and more vertical integration. Apple is a prime example. It designs its own chips, produces hardware, and the software for its operating system, and also chooses which software products can be purchased through its online store. Google takes a somewhat different approach, as it does not make computers, but it has created a mobile phone standard, etc.  Microsoft at first focused on software but later realized it might best sell computers and tablets.  There is some interoperability, notably in email, but to a considerable degree each corporation attempts to create a suite of software and services that can capture and hold the attention of users. Facebook is attempting to market a digital world of its own, the Metaverse, which is intended to be a 3D virtual world where users will work, socialize and be entertained.  Google has an expanding range of apps designed to serve every need, whether to work, play, or explore. Note that each corporation seeks to become all encompassing, and each one is independent. The consumer can leave one and go to another, but it is not possible to integrate them. The horizonal integration is quite limited.

(3) In this situation, there are no equivalents of local utilities subject to state regulation. Instead, corporations compete with one another to create a suite of useful products that together define a universe or system that supplies an ever-expanding range of services. There was only one local utility for each city or town in 1920, as this was thought to be inherent in the technology - natural monopolies seemed the only sensible option. Today's tech companies all seek to serve every market, and given weak regulation the profits being made are enormous. Look at the largest corporations making up the DOW Jones industrial average in c. 1925, and one finds a list of companies that emerged after 1880 to dominate the economy, many of them energy related, such as GE, Westinghouse, GM, Ford, and  many oil companies. In 2020 these have been dethroned from the top of the list. As late as 1990, the top five companies were General Motors, Ford, Exxon, IBM, and General Electric. In 2020 only Exxon remained among the top five, which was made possible by merging with Mobil Oil. Otherwise, the top five were Wal-Mart, Amazon, Apple. and CVS Health.

(4) Electrification interfaced with all aspects of society, as every part of society eventually was included in the network. The electrical system of power generation, transmission, and installation involved wiring up millions of buildings and building the infrastructure needed to supply them with power. It took more more than fifty years to establish. A great deal of standardization was built into the electrical system. This created ideal preconditions for the rapid adoption of digital technologies. 

(5) The electrical system developed slowly, reaching various markets in a sequence of expansions that took decades, as described in Electrifying America (MIT Press 1990). The digital transformation began slowly after World War Two, but it is now stampeding ahead, reaching into almost all sectors of the economy simultaneously. The pace of change is far faster than the design of legislation to control it. Governments struggle to keep up. For example, during the development of AI there has been a massive violation of the laws of copyright, and the government and the courts are struggling with a wave of lawsuits. There are many other examples, of course, as each of the separate corporate universes seeks to maximize profits.

(6) At first this digital transformation only took a small amount of the energy being produced, to some extent offset by efficiency improvements in lightbulbs, motors, etc.  But now the demands of AI are sucking up vast amounts of energy, and there is an emerging crisis of supply. The electrical system, which grew extremely rapidly between 1900 and the 1990s, after that had  begun to reach a stasis, in which per capita demand was falling due to improved efficiencies, roughly counterbalanced by population growth. But in 2025 demand is surging, and the systems are close to being overtaxed. Increasing the generation and transmission systems is a slow business, and therefore a crunch is coming.

(7) One final difference has developed from the confluence of the differences discussed above. The electrical system, given its design, did not lend itself to gathering extensive information about consumers. Each utility had the names and addresses of its customers, and it could keep track of how much electricity they used. But they had no way to track the consumer choices among various electrical products, which they might buy anywhere. Only in the first years did utilities themselves sell light bulbs or appliances, and soon this aspect of the business was handled by independent retailers. The digital system, in stunning contrast, has used its vertical integration to assemble vast, detailed databases on every consumer within its orbit. In effect, the consumer has become a product for sale in a new attention economy, as this database is used to design and pinpoint advertising messages. 

If one looks ahead, there are many unknowns. How much will AI grow? Will it prove to be overhyped? How long will solar cells and wind turbines continue to become more efficient? Where is the limit in their development? Steam turbines kept getting more efficient (and larger) for 75 years or more. If alternative energies do the same, then the average homeowner or business building could become a mini-utility, supplying its own needs, charging automobiles, and selling significant amounts of power to the grid. But the problem now is that government is playing catch up, and some inefficiencies and disincentives may be institutionalized before suitable controls are created. 

The big question is whether the corporations that now dominate the digital world will be allowed to continue in their present form, or whether like Rockefeller's Standard Oil, like IBM, and like AT&T, they will be reformed and to some degree broken up by legislation. A century ago the Progressives saw the need for such change. The European Union now grasps the need for it. But the current American government under Trump accepts million dollar gifts from the largest digital companies and encourages an emergent Silicon Valley authoritarianism. The once popular idea that digitization and the Internet would lead to greater democracy, mutual understanding, and increased freedom has hardly been realized. For further reading, I recommend the excellent book by Shoshana Zuboff, of the Harvard Business School: The Age of Surveillance Capitalism (2019).

The President Has No Clothes

After the American Century

Hans Christian Andersen wrote a prophetic story about a king who thought he was acquiring magical clothing that was of superior quality. In fact, he had been fooled into thinking the clothing existed, when in fact he was "putting on" nothing at all. Two men who claimed to be weavers had pretended to make magical garments that were so fine that only intelligent people could see them. The King wanted such clothing, for he would not only appear splendid but he would be able to discover which subjects were fools. However, no one would admit that they could not see the new garments, because then they would appear stupid and unfit to keep their position. And so, the entire city praised the non-existent garments. The King strutted before his court and his subjects, convinced that he cut an impressive figure. Until a child said the obvious thing, that the King was stark naked. 

I used to think that Hans Christian Andersen exaggerated, for surely it would not be possible for an entire society to pretend their monarch was beautifully dressed when he was buck naked.  But the spectacle of Mr. Trump in the White House has shown that this fable is grounded in a deep insight into human nature.

Any child can see that Trump is not in his right mind. When he speaks, he rambles. He claims that there is an insurrection in the United States and sends troops to places where the crime rate is low, while ignoring other places where it is high. He orders the death of people in small boats in the open waters of the sea, claiming without a shred of evidence that these people are terrorists or drug runners. He has a large navy and air force, and these boats could be captured without killing anyone, but he bombs them instead. He continually makes statements at odds with irrefutable facts, and then orders out the National Guard. He posts strange videos from the White House depicting magical beds that will cure anyone who lies in them or demeaning political opponents. He appears to be out of his mind. If anyone else said and did these things they would be sent for psychiatric examination or put on trial for murdering people on the high seas.

Instead, news reporters, government officials, foreign heads of state, and legions of followers treat Mr. Trump as if he were sane.  He clearly is not, but the United States seems as a whole to be deranged. The man suffers from vast delusions of grandeur. He claims he ought to get to the Noble Peace Prize, yet he commits murder, starts wars, arrests citizens without a warrant, slanders judges, and does his deranged best to intimidate opponents.  

During the first Trump administration, the Washington Post kept a list of the lies Trump told, and it eventually contained more than 25,000 items. Many of those lies are still being repeated with new absurdities added daily, to the point that half the public is convinced of supposed conspiracies and non-existent dangers. They have become as deranged as their leader.

As a result, the nation has reached a state in national paralysis. The government is in lockdown and the Republicans often will not even call the House of Representatives into session. They have abdicated their role in the political system. Representative national government has ceased to function, leaving a vacuum to be filled with the lunacy of a madman and his entourage at the White Asylum, where a new ballroom is being built.

Anderson ends his tale this way: 

‘But he hasn’t got anything on,’ all his people finally cried out. This gave the emperor the shivers, for he sensed they were right, but he reasoned: ‘Now I’ll have to stick the procession out.’ And the chamberlains walked on bearing the train that wasn’t there."  

(translation by John Irons)